HDA Update on 2019 Elections

The following is courtesy of Harris, DeVille and Associates

The election season is upon us here in Louisiana. Qualifying for all statewide and legislative seats begins August 6. After the close of qualifying on August 8, we will obviously have a better idea of the slate of candidates. But until then, this will have to do! There are 23 incumbents seeking reelection to the state Senate and 65 incumbents seeking reelection to the state House of Representatives. If all those are reelected, that’s a 61 percent rate of return. Eighteen House members are running for the Senate, and potentially three Senate members are running for the House. That’s a potential of 15 percent in member crossover. IF all incumbents win and the crossover attempts are successful, that means about 75 percent of existing members remain in the Legislature. Some of the crossover seats pit existing members against each other. Our current lists, which change nearly every day, show 222 candidates for the state House and 81 candidates seeking election to the state Senate.

LEGISLATIVE INCUMBENTS…There are 23 incumbents seeking reelection to the state Senate and 65 incumbents seeking reelection to the state House of Representatives. A cumulative list of those candidates follows and will be more complete after the qualifying period ends on August 8.

Senate Incumbents Seeking Reelection:

  • Bret Allain, R-Franklin (no announced opposition)
  • Regina Barrow, D-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  • Wesley Bishop, D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Gerald Boudreaux, D-Lafayette (no announced opposition)
  • Troy Carter, D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Page Cortez, R-Lafayette (no announced opposition)
  • Jim Fannin, R-Jonesboro (announced opposition)
  • Ryan Gatti, R-Bossier City (announced opposition)
  • Bob Hensgens, R-Abbeville (no announced opposition)
  • Sharon Hewitt, R-Slidell (no announced opposition)
  • Ronnie Johns, R-Lake Charles (no announced opposition)
  • Eddie Lambert, R-Gonzales (no announced opposition)
  • Jay Luneau, D-Alexandria (no announced opposition)
  • John Milkovich, D-Shreveport (announced opposition)
  • Fred Mills, R-Parks (no announced opposition)
  • Beth Mizell, R-Franklinton (no announced opposition)
  • Barrow Peacock, R-Bossier City (no announced opposition)
  • Karen Carter Peterson, D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Edward Price, D-Gonzales (announced opposition)
  • Gary Smith, D-Norco (no announced opposition)
  • Gregory Tarver, D-Shreveport (announced opposition)
  • Rick Ward, R-Port Allen (no announced opposition)
  • Bodi White, R-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)

House Incumbents Seeking Reelection:

  • Roy Daryl Adams, D-Jackson (announced opposition)
  • Beryl Amedee, R-Houma (no announced opposition)
  • Tony Bacala, R-Prairieville (no announced opposition)
  • Larry Bagley, R-Stonewall (no announced opposition)
  • Stuart Bishop, R-Lafayette (announced opposition)
  • Ryan Bourriaque, R-Abbeville (no announced opposition)
  • Ken Brass, D-Vacherie (no announced opposition)
  • Chad Brown, D-Plaquemine (no announced opposition)
  • Barbara Carpenter, D-Baton Rouge (announced opposition)
  • Gary Carter, Jr. – D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Robby Carter, D-Amite (no announced opposition)
  • Jean-Paul Coussan, R-Lafayette (no announced opposition)
  • Kenny Cox, D-Natchitoches (no announced opposition)
  • Raymond Crews, R-Bossier City (announced opposition)
  • Paula Davis, R-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  • Phillip DeVillier, R-Eunice (no announced opposition)
  • Mary Dubuisson, R-Slidell (no announced opposition)
  • Royce Duplessis, D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Stephen Dwight, R-Lake Charles (no announced opposition)
  • Rick Edmonds, R-Baton Rouge (announced opposition)
  • Julie Emerson, R-Carencro (announced opposition)
  • Randal Gaines, D-LaPlace (no announced opposition)
  • Ray Garofalo, R-Chalmette (no announced opposition)
  • Cedric Glover, D-Shreveport (no announced opposition)
  • Jimmy Harris, D-New Orleans (no announced opposition)
  • Lance Harris, R-Alexandria (announced opposition)
  • Stephanie Hilferty, R-Metairie (announced opposition)
  • Valarie Hodges, R-Denham Springs (no announced opposition)
  • Paul Hollis, R-Covington (no announced opposition)
  • Dodie Horton, R-Haughton (no announced opposition)
  • Mike Huval, R-Breaux Bridge (no announced opposition)
  • Barry Ivey, R-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  • Ted James, D-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  • Patrick Jefferson, D-Homer (no announced opposition)
  • Sam Jenkins, D-Shreveport (no announced opposition)
  • Mike Johnson, R-Pineville (no announced opposition)
  • Edmond Jordan, D-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  • Jeremy Lacombe, D-New Roads (announced opposition)
  • Ed Larvadain III, D-Alexandria (announced opposition)
  • Chris Leopold, R-Chalmette (no announced opposition)
  • Rodney Lyons, D-Harvey (no announced opposition)
  • Sherman Mack, R-Albany (announced opposition)
  • Tanner Magee, R-Houma (no announced opposition)
  • Denise Marcelle, D-Baton Rouge (no announced opposition)
  •  Joe Marino, I-Gretna (no announced opposition)
  •  Jack McFarland, R-Jonesboro (no announced opposition)
  • Wayne McMahen, R-Minden (no announced opposition)
  • Blake Miguez, R-Erath (no announced opposition)
  • Dustin Miller, D-Opelousas (no announced opposition)
  • Greg Miller, R-Norco (no announced opposition)
  • Pat Moore, D-Monroe (announced opposition)
  • Stuart Moss, R-Lake Charles (announced opposition)
  • Nick Muscarello, R-Hammond (no announced opposition)
  • Vincent Pierre, D-Opelousas (no announced opposition)
  • Clay Schexnayder, R-Gonzales (no announced opposition)
  • Alan Seabaugh, R-Shreveport (announced opposition)
  •  Joe Stagni, R-Kenner (no announced opposition)
  •  John Stefanski, R-Crowley (no announced opposition)
  •  Julie Stokes, R-Kenner (announced opposition)
  • Polly Thomas, R-Metairie (no announced opposition)
  • Chris Turner, R-Ruston (no announced opposition)
  • Malinda White, D-Bogalusa (announced opposition)
  • Mark Wright, R-Covington (no announced opposition)
  • Jerome Zeringue, R-Houma (no announced opposition)

Ending a “will he-won’t he” situation, Rep. Steve Pylant, R-Winnsboro, recently announced he will not be seeking reelection. Also not running for reelection is Rep. Terry Brown, I-Colfax. Additionally, two Senate incumbents and one House incumbent on this list (and possibly more) may decide not to seek reelection. Time will tell.

LEGISLATIVE CROSSOVER…The qualifying period for the 2019 elections ends August 8. Eighteen House members are running for the Senate, and three senators are running for the House. Some of the races pit term-limited House members against each other for Senate seats. A cumulative list of those candidates follows:

House members running for the Senate:

  • SD 3/Morrell: Reps. John Bagneris, D-New Orleans, and Joe Bouie, D-New Orleans
  • SD 8/Alario: Rep. Pat Connick, R-Marrero (term-limited)
  •  SD 9/Appel: Rep. Cameron Henry, R-Metairie (term-limited)
  • SD 10/Martiny: Rep. Kirk Talbot, R-River Ridge (term-limited)
  • SD 11/Donahue: Rep. Reid Falconer, R-Mandeville
  • SD 13/Erdey: Rep. Rogers Pope, R-Denham Springs (term-limited)
  • SD 14/Colomb: Rep. Pat Smith, D-Baton Rouge (term-limited)
  • SD 16/Claitor: Reps. Steve Carter, R-Baton Rouge, and Franklin Foil, R-Baton Rouge (term-limited)
  • SD 25/Morrish: Reps. Mark Abraham, R-Lake Charles, (not term limited) and Johnny Guinn, R-Jennings (term-limited)
  • SD 28/LaFleur: Reps. Bernard LeBas, D-Ville Platte (term limited) and Robert Johnson, D-Marksville (term-limited)
  • SD 30/Smith (John): Rep. James Armes, D-Leesville (term-limited)
  • SD 34/Thompson: Rep. Katrina Jackson, D-Monroe
  • SD 35/Fannin (running): Rep. Jay Morris, R-Monroe
  • SD 39/Tarver: Rep. Barbara Norton, R-Shreveport (term-limited)

Senate members running for the House:

  •   HD 83/Billiot: Sen. John Alario, R-Westwego
  •  HD 19/Chaney: Sen. Francis Thompson, D-Delhi
  • HD 21/Anders: Sen. Neil Riser, R-Columbia

As always, Senate President Alario remains an enigma, and will likely keep us all guessing as to his intentions for candidacy until the end of qualifying. If other incumbents for the Senate decide not to run, that could change the outlook for House members, who may choose to try to cross over.